AI prediction accuracy: September 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
This month is still in progress — figures update daily.
Updated
53.6%
Correct outcomes
52 / 97
10.3%
Exact scores
10 / 97
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 97 | 52 | 10 | 53.6% |
| gpt-5 | 97 | 51 | 9 | 52.6% |
Accuracy by competition
| Competition | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Champions League | 18 | 14 | 77.8% |
| Brasileirão Série A | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| La Liga | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| Eredivisie | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| Premier League | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| Serie A | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| Bundesliga | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Ligue 1 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Primeira Liga | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
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