Premier League: AI prediction accuracy, September 2026

Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.

Updated Oct 1, 2026

By Ivan Sirenko · Oct 1, 2026

50.0%

Correct outcomes

15 / 30

6.7%

Exact scores

2 / 30

Model comparison

Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.

Model	Predictions	Correct	Exact scores	Accuracy
claude-opus-5	19	10	1	52.6%
gpt-5	19	8	1	42.1%

Match by match

Date	Match	Predicted	Result	Verdict
Sep 4, 2026	Ipswich Town FC vs Liverpool FC	1:2	0:2	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	Newcastle United FC vs AFC Bournemouth	2:1	2:2	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Nottingham Forest FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC	1:1	0:0	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	Manchester City FC vs Coventry City FC	3:0	1:0	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Leeds United FC	2:1	1:1	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Brentford FC vs Sunderland AFC	2:1	1:1	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Fulham FC vs Crystal Palace FC	1:0	2:3	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Hull City AFC vs Aston Villa FC	1:0	0:0	Miss
Sep 6, 2026	Everton FC vs Manchester United FC	1:1	2:2	Outcome
Sep 6, 2026	Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 12, 2026	Crystal Palace FC vs Ipswich Town FC	2:1	2:3	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	Liverpool FC vs Fulham FC	2:1	0:0	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC	2:1	1:2	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford FC	1:1	2:2	Outcome
Sep 12, 2026	Chelsea FC vs Hull City AFC	3:1	2:2	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Everton FC	1:1	0:0	Outcome
Sep 12, 2026	Sunderland AFC vs Arsenal FC	0:1	0:2	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	Coventry City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC	1:2	0:5	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	Manchester United FC vs Manchester City FC	1:2	0:1	Outcome
Sep 14, 2026	Leeds United FC vs Newcastle United FC	2:1	4:1	Outcome
Sep 18, 2026	Brentford FC vs Chelsea FC	2:1	3:0	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Aston Villa FC	3:2	2:3	Miss
Sep 19, 2026	Everton FC vs Ipswich Town FC	2:1	1:0	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC	2:1	0:0	Miss
Sep 19, 2026	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Arsenal FC	1:1	3:0	Miss
Sep 19, 2026	Newcastle United FC vs Hull City AFC	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 19, 2026	Manchester City FC vs Sunderland AFC	2:1	5:3	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	Nottingham Forest FC vs Coventry City FC	2:1	0:1	Miss
Sep 20, 2026	AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC	2:1	0:1	Miss
Sep 20, 2026	Fulham FC vs Manchester United FC	1:2	1:1	Miss

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