AI Prediction Accuracy — Track Record
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
Updated · Last 90 days
53.2%
Correct outcomes
396 / 744
10.8%
Exact scores
80 / 744
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 460 | 258 | 49 | 56.1% |
| gpt-5 | 460 | 236 | 40 | 51.3% |
Accuracy by month
Complete months only. A month the rolling window cuts into is left out of this table, but its matches still count towards the total above.
| Month | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 280 | 159 | 56.8% |
| September 2026 | 258 | 137 | 53.1% |
| August 2026 | 206 | 100 | 48.5% |
Accuracy by competition
| Competition | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brasileirão Série A | 111 | 57 | 51.4% |
| La Liga | 99 | 56 | 56.6% |
| Eredivisie | 90 | 45 | 50.0% |
| Primeira Liga | 81 | 42 | 51.9% |
| Premier League | 80 | 43 | 53.8% |
| Serie A | 80 | 46 | 57.5% |
| Ligue 1 | 72 | 35 | 48.6% |
| Bundesliga | 63 | 30 | 47.6% |
| UEFA Champions League | 54 | 38 | 70.4% |
| Nigeria Premier Football League | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
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