AI prediction accuracy: August 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
Updated
48.5%
Correct outcomes
100 / 206
9.7%
Exact scores
20 / 206
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 81.8% |
| gpt-5 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 72.7% |
Accuracy by competition
| Competition | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brasileirão Série A | 40 | 17 | 42.5% |
| Primeira Liga | 35 | 20 | 57.1% |
| Eredivisie | 34 | 15 | 44.1% |
| La Liga | 30 | 15 | 50.0% |
| Premier League | 20 | 9 | 45.0% |
| Serie A | 20 | 13 | 65.0% |
| Ligue 1 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| Bundesliga | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
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