AI prediction accuracy: October 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
This month is still in progress — figures update daily.
Updated
57.1%
Correct outcomes
112 / 196
10.2%
Exact scores
20 / 196
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 195 | 111 | 20 | 56.9% |
| gpt-5 | 195 | 98 | 13 | 50.3% |
Accuracy by competition
| Competition | Predictions | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Champions League | 36 | 24 | 66.7% |
| Brasileirão Série A | 30 | 20 | 66.7% |
| La Liga | 20 | 14 | 70.0% |
| Premier League | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| Serie A | 20 | 10 | 50.0% |
| Bundesliga | 18 | 9 | 50.0% |
| Eredivisie | 18 | 8 | 44.4% |
| Ligue 1 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% |
| Primeira Liga | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| Nigeria Premier Football League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
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