Premier League: AI prediction accuracy, October 2026

Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.

This month is still in progress — figures update daily.

Updated Oct 22, 2026

By Ivan Sirenko · Oct 22, 2026

60.0%

Correct outcomes

12 / 20

10.0%

Exact scores

2 / 20

Model comparison

Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.

Model	Predictions	Correct	Exact scores	Accuracy
claude-opus-5	20	12	2	60.0%
gpt-5	20	10	2	50.0%

Date	Match	Predicted	Result	Verdict
Oct 10, 2026	Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC	2:0	2:1	Outcome
Oct 10, 2026	Sunderland AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC	1:2	0:2	Outcome
Oct 10, 2026	Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth	2:1	5:1	Outcome
Oct 10, 2026	Ipswich Town FC vs Fulham FC	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Oct 10, 2026	Aston Villa FC vs Brentford FC	1:1	2:2	Outcome
Oct 10, 2026	Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC	2:0	1:1	Miss
Oct 11, 2026	Hull City AFC vs Everton FC	1:1	2:2	Outcome
Oct 11, 2026	Crystal Palace FC vs Nottingham Forest FC	1:1	3:1	Miss
Oct 11, 2026	Liverpool FC vs Manchester City FC	1:2	0:3	Outcome
Oct 12, 2026	Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC	0:2	4:1	Miss
Oct 17, 2026	Everton FC vs Chelsea FC	1:1	0:2	Miss
Oct 17, 2026	Fulham FC vs Hull City AFC	1:1	1:0	Miss
Oct 17, 2026	Manchester City FC vs Ipswich Town FC	3:0	3:2	Outcome
Oct 17, 2026	Brentford FC vs Liverpool FC	1:1	1:2	Miss
Oct 17, 2026	Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC	2:1	0:1	Miss
Oct 18, 2026	AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland AFC	1:1	2:0	Miss
Oct 18, 2026	Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC	1:1	1:1	Exact score
Oct 18, 2026	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC	2:0	5:0	Outcome
Oct 18, 2026	Nottingham Forest FC vs Arsenal FC	0:2	0:1	Outcome
Oct 19, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC	1:0	3:1	Outcome

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