Bundesliga: AI prediction accuracy, October 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
This month is still in progress — figures update daily.
Updated
50.0%
Correct outcomes
9 / 18
11.1%
Exact scores
2 / 18
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 50.0% |
| gpt-5 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 38.9% |
Match by match
| Date | Match | Predicted | Result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen | 3:1 | 2:2 | Miss | |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1:2 | 3:4 | Outcome | |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:2 | 0:2 | Outcome | |
| 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg | 1:2 | 1:0 | Miss | |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV | 2:0 | 2:3 | Miss | |
| FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München | 1:3 | 2:2 | Miss | |
| RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3:1 | 6:0 | Outcome | |
| 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2:1 | 2:1 | Exact score | |
| SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 | 2:0 | 2:1 | Outcome | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln | 2:1 | 1:0 | Outcome | |
| 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 1:2 | 0:0 | Miss | |
| Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart | 1:2 | 1:0 | Miss | |
| SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 | 2:0 | 2:2 | Miss | |
| SV 07 Elversberg vs FC Augsburg | 1:2 | 4:3 | Miss | |
| FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1:2 | 0:1 | Outcome | |
| FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig | 3:1 | 6:1 | Outcome | |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2:1 | 2:1 | Exact score | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3:2 | 1:2 | Miss |
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