Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction Bundesliga · Oct 18, 2026

Analysis

This is a top-three clash between two unbeaten sides separated only by goal difference: Leverkusen are 2nd on 10 points from four games (3W 1D, 14 scored, 2 conceded, +12), Freiburg 3rd on the same 10 points (3W 1D, 12 scored, 3 conceded, +9). Leverkusen's recent league work has been brutal in front of their own crowd, 4-0 against Union Berlin and 2-0 against RB Leipzig, with the 2-2 at Augsburg their only slip, although a 3-2 defeat away at Elversberg showed they can be opened up when the intensity drops. Freiburg's numbers are every bit as loud: 5-0 over Borussia Mönchengladbach, 4-1 against Werder Bremen, and a 2-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt that proved they will trade punches away from home. With 26 goals between them in their last eight outings, the goal markets look more reliable than the result, but Leverkusen's two goals conceded in four league matches is the single best defensive record of the two and tilts the home side ahead. We land on a 2-1 home win: enough respect for Freiburg's scoring to expect a response, not enough away defensive evidence to back them to leave with a point.