1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction Bundesliga · Oct 11, 2026

Analysis

Köln arrive 13th with 4 points from 4 matches (1-1-2, 6:9) and every one of those points has come at home: a 3-2 win over Hoffenheim and a 1-1 draw with Werder, followed by a 1-2 defeat at Hamburg. Gladbach are bottom of the table on 0 points with a 6:16 goal difference, and their away record is brutal — 0-5 at Freiburg and 0-3 at Leipzig, so they have not scored a single away league goal this season. The goals they have produced came at home (3-4 against Mainz, 3-4 against Elversberg in the cup), games that say far more about their defending than their finishing. Köln are leaky too, conceding in all four league games and shipping four at Stuttgart, so the over market looks stronger than a comfortable home win. A derby always carries extra variance, but on form and table position the hosts should edge it: 2-1.