SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction Bundesliga · Oct 17, 2026

Analysis

Werder Bremen go into round 6 eighth in the table with 7 points from four games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 8:8) and they have been a clearly better side at the Weserstadion, beating RB Leipzig 3-1 and Augsburg 3-2 — six goals in two home outings. Paderborn sit twelfth on 4 points with the most anaemic attack in the mid-table group: three goals in four matches, and all three arrived in the 3-1 home win over Hoffenheim, with blanks against Mainz (0-0 away), Freiburg (0-1 at home) and Dortmund (0-3 away). On the road the newcomers have not scored at all this season, which is the single most important number for this market. Bremen's weak point is the defence — eight conceded in four games, including the 1-4 collapse at Freiburg and two goals shipped to Augsburg even in a win — so a clean sheet is far from guaranteed. Balancing Bremen's home scoring with Paderborn's lack of output, 2-0 to the hosts looks like the most logical scoreline, and the goals total should stay closer to the under than Bremen's own home games suggest.