Primeira Liga: AI prediction accuracy, October 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
This month is still in progress — figures update daily.
Updated
60.0%
Correct outcomes
6 / 10
10.0%
Exact scores
1 / 10
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 60.0% |
| gpt-5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 50.0% |
Match by match
| Date | Match | Predicted | Result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC | 1:0 | 0:1 | Miss | |
| Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1:1 | 1:3 | Miss | |
| CS Marítimo vs FC Porto | 0:3 | 1:2 | Outcome | |
| Casa Pia AC vs CD Santa Clara | 0:1 | 0:1 | Exact score | |
| Académico de Viseu FC vs GD Estoril Praia | 2:0 | 2:1 | Outcome | |
| Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional | 2:1 | 3:2 | Outcome | |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC | 3:0 | 2:0 | Outcome | |
| FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora | 2:1 | 1:0 | Outcome | |
| FC Famalicão vs FC Alverca | 1:1 | 1:4 | Miss | |
| Sporting Clube de Braga vs Gil Vicente FC | 2:0 | 1:2 | Miss |
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