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Primeira Liga: AI prediction accuracy, September 2026

Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.

Updated

By · Oct 1, 2026

44.4%
Correct outcomes
12 / 27
3.7%
Exact scores
1 / 27

Model comparison

Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.

ModelPredictionsCorrectExact scoresAccuracy
claude-opus-5189150.0%
gpt-5188144.4%

Match by match

DateMatchPredictedResultVerdict
FC Alverca vs Sporting Clube de Braga1:21:2Exact score
CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC Famalicão2:12:2Miss
Sporting Clube de Portugal vs CD Nacional3:02:0Outcome
FC Porto vs Moreirense FC2:02:1Outcome
CD Santa Clara vs Rio Ave FC1:04:0Outcome
Gil Vicente FC vs Académico de Viseu FC2:00:1Miss
CS Marítimo vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica1:20:3Outcome
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC2:00:0Miss
GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca1:20:0Miss
Moreirense FC vs CS Marítimo1:13:1Miss
Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora1:13:3Outcome
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC2:03:1Outcome
FC Famalicão vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0:21:1Miss
CD Nacional vs FC Alverca2:11:3Miss
Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto0:21:4Outcome
Sporting Clube de Braga vs GD Estoril Praia2:01:0Outcome
Académico de Viseu FC vs Vitória SC1:12:1Miss
FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara2:11:2Miss
CD Nacional vs FC Famalicão2:10:4Miss
Gil Vicente FC vs CS Marítimo2:11:1Miss
Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca3:22:2Miss
CD Santa Clara vs Sporting Clube de Braga2:10:0Miss
Vitória SC vs Moreirense FC2:21:1Outcome
FC Porto vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3:23:1Outcome
CF Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu FC2:10:2Miss
FC Alverca vs Rio Ave FC2:11:0Outcome
GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia AC2:11:2Miss

All competitions, September 2026 · Primeira Liga

How we calculate accuracy →

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