La Liga: AI prediction accuracy, October 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
This month is still in progress — figures update daily.
Updated
70.0%
Correct outcomes
14 / 20
15.0%
Exact scores
3 / 20
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 68.4% |
| gpt-5 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 68.4% |
Match by match
| Date | Match | Predicted | Result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 1:2 | 1:2 | Exact score | |
| FC Barcelona vs Getafe CF | 3:0 | 3:0 | Exact score | |
| Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF | 3:1 | 1:0 | Outcome | |
| Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 0:1 | 1:1 | Miss | |
| Elche CF vs RC Celta de Vigo | 2:1 | 0:0 | Miss | |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs RC Deportivo La Coruña | 2:1 | 3:2 | Outcome | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs CA Osasuna | 2:0 | 5:2 | Outcome | |
| Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF | 2:1 | 2:2 | Miss | |
| Levante UD vs Sevilla FC | 1:1 | 3:3 | Outcome | |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante UD | 2:1 | 1:1 | Miss | |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 1:2 | 0:1 | Outcome | |
| Villarreal CF vs Elche CF | 2:1 | 0:0 | Miss | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs FC Barcelona | 1:2 | 2:5 | Outcome | |
| Valencia CF vs Athletic Club | 0:1 | 0:0 | Miss | |
| CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander | 2:1 | 2:0 | Outcome | |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés | 1:0 | 2:1 | Outcome | |
| Málaga CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 1:2 | 2:5 | Outcome | |
| Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC | 2:1 | 4:1 | Outcome | |
| Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 1:1 | 1:1 | Exact score | |
| Levante UD vs Athletic Club | 2:1 | 3:1 | Outcome |
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