Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid Prediction La Liga · Oct 10, 2026

Analysis

Atlético arrive on a three-game winning run in which they have scored nine goals and conceded one: 3-0 at Real Sociedad, 4-0 against Osasuna and a 2-1 derby win over Real Madrid, which lifts them into the chasing pack on 16 points from seven matches (5-1-1). The caveat is their travel record in that same sample — away from home they were beaten 3-0 at Athletic Club and 2-1 at Liverpool, so the dominance is not yet fully portable. Alavés have been streaky but dangerous at Mendizorroza, where six of their seven goals in the last five games were scored: 1-0 against Villarreal and a 5-2 rout of Osasuna, offset by a 0-1 home defeat to Valencia. Their last two outings were low-event — 2-1 at Racing Santander and a disciplined 0-0 at Athletic Club — which fits a side that defends in a compact block and plays on the counter. The league table underlines how tight the top is behind the unbeaten leaders (21 points, 31-7): second to fourth are separated by a single point, so Atlético cannot afford a slip. We expect Alavés to make it uncomfortable for a half, but Atlético's current scoring level should decide it: 1-2.