UEFA Champions League: AI prediction accuracy, September 2026
Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.
Updated
77.8%
Correct outcomes
14 / 18
22.2%
Exact scores
4 / 18
Model comparison
Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.
| Model | Predictions | Correct | Exact scores | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| claude-opus-5 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 77.8% |
| gpt-5 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 72.2% |
Match by match
| Date | Match | Predicted | Result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa FC | 1:2 | 2:3 | Outcome | |
| PAE AEK vs LASK Linz | 2:1 | 1:0 | Outcome | |
| Real Madrid CF vs FC Internazionale Milano | 2:1 | 2:1 | Exact score | |
| FC Porto vs Manchester City FC | 1:2 | 0:2 | Outcome | |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal CF | 2:1 | 3:2 | Outcome | |
| Lille OSC vs Real Betis Balompié | 2:1 | 2:3 | Miss | |
| FC Barcelona vs Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3:1 | 5:1 | Outcome | |
| VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK | 3:1 | 3:1 | Exact score | |
| Liverpool FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 2:1 | 2:1 | Exact score | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 4:0 | 6:1 | Outcome | |
| SSC Napoli vs Arsenal FC | 1:1 | 0:1 | Miss | |
| Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Galatasaray SK | 2:1 | 3:1 | Outcome | |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs AS Roma | 1:1 | 1:1 | Exact score | |
| PSV vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 3:1 | 1:1 | Miss | |
| FC Bayern München vs FK Bodø/Glimt | 4:0 | 5:0 | Outcome | |
| Manchester United FC vs Sabah FK | 3:0 | 4:0 | Outcome | |
| Como 1907 vs RB Leipzig | 2:1 | 4:1 | Outcome | |
| SK Slavia Praha vs Racing Club de Lens | 1:1 | 2:3 | Miss |
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