Serie A: AI prediction accuracy, September 2026

Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.

Updated Oct 1, 2026

By Ivan Sirenko · Oct 1, 2026

50.0%

Correct outcomes

15 / 30

16.7%

Exact scores

5 / 30

Model comparison

Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.

Model	Predictions	Correct	Exact scores	Accuracy
gpt-5	19	12	4	63.2%
claude-opus-5	19	11	3	57.9%

Match by match

Date	Match	Predicted	Result	Verdict
Sep 4, 2026	Genoa CFC vs Como 1907	0:1	1:4	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	ACF Fiorentina vs Torino FC	1:0	1:2	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	FC Internazionale Milano vs SSC Napoli	2:1	3:2	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	AS Roma vs Atalanta BC	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 6, 2026	Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Monza	1:1	1:1	Exact score
Sep 6, 2026	Frosinone Calcio vs Venezia FC	2:0	3:2	Outcome
Sep 6, 2026	Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio	2:1	2:2	Miss
Sep 6, 2026	Juventus FC vs AC Milan	1:1	1:1	Exact score
Sep 7, 2026	Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce	1:1	1:0	Miss
Sep 7, 2026	Udinese Calcio vs SS Lazio	1:1	1:2	Miss
Sep 11, 2026	Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina	1:1	2:4	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	Genoa CFC vs Frosinone Calcio	0:1	1:1	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	SS Lazio vs AC Milan	1:1	2:2	Outcome
Sep 12, 2026	Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio	2:1	1:2	Miss
Sep 13, 2026	Torino FC vs AS Roma	1:2	0:2	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913	2:0	2:1	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	US Lecce vs AC Monza	2:1	3:2	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909	2:1	1:0	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	US Sassuolo Calcio vs Juventus FC	0:2	3:2	Miss
Sep 14, 2026	FC Internazionale Milano vs Udinese Calcio	2:1	5:3	Outcome
Sep 18, 2026	AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 19, 2026	Bologna FC 1909 vs Torino FC	2:1	1:1	Miss
Sep 19, 2026	Udinese Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio	2:1	0:1	Miss
Sep 19, 2026	AS Roma vs FC Internazionale Milano	2:1	2:2	Miss
Sep 19, 2026	Venezia FC vs SS Lazio	1:1	0:2	Miss
Sep 20, 2026	ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli	1:2	1:1	Miss
Sep 20, 2026	Frosinone Calcio vs Como 1907	0:1	2:0	Miss
Sep 20, 2026	Parma Calcio 1913 vs Genoa CFC	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 20, 2026	Juventus FC vs Atalanta BC	2:1	2:0	Outcome
Sep 20, 2026	AC Milan vs US Lecce	1:1	3:0	Miss

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