Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction Serie A · Sep 11, 2026

Analysis

This is a meeting of the two worst starts in Serie A: Venezia sit 19th with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 4 conceded in two games, while Fiorentina are rock bottom in 20th with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 7 conceded. Venezia were beaten 0-2 at home by Lecce and 0-2 at Milan; Fiorentina lost 0-4 at Roma and then 0-3 at home to Frosinone, a result that turned their season into a crisis. Neither attack has produced a single goal in 2026-27, which is the strongest argument against a high-scoring game, even though Fiorentina's defence has leaked at a rate of 3.5 goals per match. The Viola do have a better recent baseline than the table suggests — they closed last season with a 2-0 win at Juventus, a 1-1 draw with Atalanta and a 0-0 against Genoa — so on raw quality they edge the away side ahead, and we make them narrow favourites at 36%. But a Venezia home crowd against a side low on confidence, plus the pressure of a genuine four-pointer, keeps the draw very live at 33%. We land on 1-1 and expect a tight, nervous match rather than a shootout.