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AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction Serie A · Oct 27, 2026

Matchday 9

AI prediction: AS Roma 1–0 Cagliari Calcio. Win probabilities — AS Roma 49%, draw 29%, Cagliari Calcio 22%.

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Where to Watch

The Serie A clash between AS Roma and Cagliari Calcio is scheduled soon.

Roma host Cagliari at the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday night with both sides arriving in solid defensive shape. The Giallorossi are unbeaten in five with three clean sheets, while Cagliari have won three of their last five on the back of 1-0 and 2-1 results. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest rather than an open one.

AI-generated prediction · Oct 14, 2026 · How predictions are made · Entertainment only

ClaudeGPTAdvanced multi-model mix — coming soon

Match Prediction

AS Roma logoAS Roma1 - 0Cagliari CalcioCagliari Calcio logo
49%
29%
22%
Home WinDrawAway Win
High-scoring likely (2.5+)36%
Both Teams Score42%
ConfidenceMedium

Analysis

Roma come into round 9 unbeaten in their last five across competitions: two wins, three draws, only four goals conceded and clean sheets in three of them, including a 2-0 home win over Atalanta and a 2-0 at Torino. Cagliari have been quietly excellent too, with three wins in five – 2-1 away at Atalanta, 1-0 at Udinese, 1-0 at home to Lecce – plus a 1-1 home draw with Juventus, their only defeat a 0-1 to Inter. The common thread is volume rather than dominance: just two of these ten most recent matches produced more than 2.5 goals, and Cagliari have managed five goals scored and three conceded in those five games. With the table compressed after six rounds – 16 points at the summit, and the pack from 13th to 19th separated by only three points – Cagliari will happily sit deep, keep the game at 0-0 as long as possible and chase a set-piece. Roma's home platform and squad depth should still break it open, but a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline looks far more plausible than a shootout, which is why we land on a narrow home win with the goals markets staying low.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

Community Poll

Will AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
A draw is unlikely: the AI gives it 29%, favouring AS Roma (49%) over Cagliari Calcio (22%). Predicted score 1–0.

Prediction FAQ

What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Our model projects a 1-0 home win for Roma. The hosts have conceded just four goals in their last five matches, while Cagliari have scored only five in the same span, so a single-goal margin is the most likely outcome.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Roma vs Cagliari?
Probably not. We give over 2.5 goals just a 33% chance, because only two of the ten most recent matches involving these two teams went above that line - Roma's 2-2 draw with Inter and Cagliari's 2-1 win at Atalanta.
Can Cagliari get a result at the Stadio Olimpico?
They are capable of it. Cagliari already won 2-1 at Atalanta and 1-0 at Udinese in this run, and they held Juventus to a 1-1 draw, so an 18% away win and 25% draw chance reflect a genuine threat on the counter rather than a token one.

Head to Head

No head-to-head record was supplied in our data feed for this fixture, so our model leans entirely on current form, goal volume and the league table. What the recent numbers do tell us is that both teams are playing in a low-scoring register: eight of their ten most recent matches finished with two goals or fewer in total. That pushes the pre-match expectation towards a cagey evening rather than a goal-fest.

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