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Cagliari Calcio vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction Serie A · Oct 24, 2026

Matchday 8

AI prediction: Cagliari Calcio 1–0 Bologna FC 1909. Win probabilities — Cagliari Calcio 55%, draw 28%, Bologna FC 1909 17%.

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The Serie A clash between Cagliari Calcio and Bologna FC 1909 is scheduled soon.

Fourth-placed Cagliari welcome a Bologna side still looking for their first win of the season, 10 points adrift of the hosts after five rounds. The Sardinians have won four of five by exactly one goal while scoring just 5 times, and Bologna have managed only 3 goals in the whole campaign. Everything about this fixture points to a cagey, low-scoring afternoon.

AI-generated prediction · Oct 11, 2026 · How predictions are made · Entertainment only

ClaudeGPTAdvanced multi-model mix — coming soon

Match Prediction

Cagliari Calcio logoCagliari Calcio1 - 0Bologna FC 1909Bologna FC 1909 logo
55%
28%
17%
Home WinDrawAway Win
High-scoring likely (2.5+)27%
Both Teams Score31%
ConfidenceMedium

Analysis

Cagliari arrive in remarkable shape for a team that scores so rarely: four wins from five, 12 points and fourth place, with only 5 goals for and 2 against. Every one of those wins came by a single goal — 1-0 at home to Lecce, 1-0 at Udinese, 1-0 at Parma and 2-1 at Atalanta — and the only defeat was 0-1 to Inter. Bologna are the mirror image: 18th on 2 points, no wins, two draws and three losses, with just 3 goals scored in 5 rounds and blank sheets in three of their last five, including 0-1 home defeats to Lazio and 0-1 at Napoli. The single previous meeting between the two ended 0-0, which fits two profiles decided by narrow margins rather than open football. Cagliari's defence has been breached twice in five matches, and Bologna's attack is one of the weakest in the division, so the value sits on a tight, low-event afternoon. We expect one decisive moment to settle it: 1-0 Cagliari.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

Community Poll

Will Cagliari Calcio vs Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?
A draw is unlikely: the AI gives it 28%, favouring Cagliari Calcio (55%) over Bologna FC 1909 (17%). Predicted score 1–0.

Prediction FAQ

Who is favourite to win Cagliari vs Bologna?
Cagliari, at home and fourth in the table on 12 points from five games, against a Bologna side 18th on 2 points with no wins yet. We give the hosts a 56% chance, with 27% for the draw and 17% for Bologna.
Will both teams score at Cagliari vs Bologna?
Probably not. Cagliari have kept three clean sheets in five matches and conceded only twice in total, while Bologna have failed to score in three of their last five. We rate both teams to score at just 31%.
Is over or under 2.5 goals the better bet?
Under. Cagliari's five league fixtures have produced 7 goals combined and Bologna have scored 3 all season, so we price over 2.5 at only 26%, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.

Cagliari Calcio vs Bologna FC 1909 — Head to Head

DateCompetitionHomeScoreAwayResult
Serie ABologna FC 19090 - 0Cagliari CalcioD

Head to Head

The teams' most recent meeting, in May 2026 in Emilia, finished 0-0 — no goals, no winner. That single data point matches what both sides are producing right now: Cagliari's matches have averaged 1.4 goals, Bologna's 1.8. Head-to-head history gives Cagliari no psychological edge, but the current table gap of 10 points does.

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