Ligue 1: AI prediction accuracy, September 2026

Independently scored outcomes vs. the AI's published predictions. Updated each generation run.

Updated Oct 1, 2026

By Ivan Sirenko · Oct 1, 2026

63.0%

Correct outcomes

17 / 27

18.5%

Exact scores

5 / 27

Model comparison

Each AI model in our ensemble is scored independently against final results — the same matches, the same window.

Model	Predictions	Correct	Exact scores	Accuracy
gpt-5	18	10	4	55.6%
claude-opus-5	18	9	1	50.0%

Match by match

Date	Match	Predicted	Result	Verdict
Sep 5, 2026	Le Havre AC vs Stade Brestois 29	1:1	1:2	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FC	2:1	2:3	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Racing Club de Lens vs FC Lorient	2:0	0:1	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC	1:2	0:1	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC	2:1	1:2	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	Angers SCO vs Stade Rennais FC 1901	1:2	1:2	Exact score
Sep 5, 2026	Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre	2:1	3:1	Outcome
Sep 5, 2026	ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace	1:1	2:6	Miss
Sep 5, 2026	OGC Nice vs Le Mans FC	2:1	1:1	Miss
Sep 11, 2026	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Olympique de Marseille	2:1	1:0	Outcome
Sep 12, 2026	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Monaco FC	1:2	1:1	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC	1:1	2:2	Outcome
Sep 12, 2026	AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice	1:1	1:0	Miss
Sep 12, 2026	Le Havre AC vs Angers SCO	1:1	0:0	Outcome
Sep 12, 2026	Paris FC vs Olympique Lyonnais	1:1	0:0	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	Lille OSC vs ES Troyes AC	2:1	2:0	Outcome
Sep 13, 2026	Le Mans FC vs Racing Club de Lens	1:2	2:2	Miss
Sep 13, 2026	Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC	1:2	0:1	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 19, 2026	Le Mans FC vs FC Lorient	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 19, 2026	OGC Nice vs Lille OSC	2:1	2:1	Exact score
Sep 19, 2026	Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace	3:2	2:1	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	Toulouse FC vs Le Havre AC	3:2	3:2	Exact score
Sep 19, 2026	Angers SCO vs ES Troyes AC	2:1	2:0	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	AS Monaco FC vs Racing Club de Lens	3:2	2:1	Outcome
Sep 19, 2026	Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennais FC 1901	3:2	4:0	Outcome
Sep 20, 2026	Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC	3:2	1:2	Miss

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