SS Lazio vs AC Monza Prediction Serie A · Oct 11, 2026

Analysis

Lazio come into round 6 third in the table on 13 points from five games (4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats), with 14... correction: 8 goals scored and just 3 conceded, the joint-best defensive record in the division. Their recent run reads 1-0 at Bologna, 1-0 at home to Genoa, 2-1 at Udinese and 2-0 at Venezia, with the only dropped points a 2-2 home draw against Milan. Monza are 16th on 4 points, beaten in three of their last five and shipping 12 goals in the process, including 1-4 at Inter and a 2-3 home loss to Udinese; their single win was 2-1 over Sassuolo. The gap is 2.6 points per game for Lazio against 0.8 for Monza, and a side conceding 2.4 goals per match is a bad match-up for a home team that has kept three clean sheets in five. Monza's one encouraging number is that they have scored in all five league games, so a goal against the run of play is not far-fetched, but Lazio's defensive discipline and low-scoring games (2.2 goals per match on average) point to a controlled home win rather than a shootout. 2-0 Lazio is the most likely scoreline.