AS Roma vs Genoa CFC Prediction Serie A · Oct 17, 2026

Matchday 7

Final Result

AS Roma2 : 0Genoa CFC

Saturday, October 17, 2026

How our prediction did

Exact score called correctly

We predicted 2–0, it finished 2–0

See our full track record

AI-generated prediction · Oct 8, 2026 · How predictions are made · Entertainment only

ClaudeGPTAdvanced multi-model mix — coming soon

Match Prediction

AS Roma2 - 0Genoa CFC

74%

17%

Home WinDrawAway Win

High-scoring likely (2.5+)47%

Both Teams Score33%

ConfidenceHigh

Analysis

Roma arrive as Serie A's pacesetters: 13 points from five matches (4W-1D), 14 goals scored and just 3 conceded, the best defensive record in the division. Their recent sequence reads 4-0 at Lecce, 2-1 at home to Atalanta, 2-0 at Torino and a 2-2 draw with Inter, so they have been ruthless in front of goal and hard to break down, with two clean sheets in their last four league outings. Genoa are 19th on a single point, with only 3 goals scored and 10 conceded, beaten four times in five — including a 1-4 home collapse against Como, a 1-0 loss at Lazio and a 2-1 defeat at Parma. The Rossoblu have not scored more than once in any of those five games, which caps the goal expectation even against a team that keeps winning by two-goal margins. The logical read is a controlled home win rather than a shootout: 2-0 Roma, with the under and 'no' side of both-teams-to-score carrying the value.

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Prediction FAQ

What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Genoa?

We predict a 2-0 home win. Roma have won their last three league games by exactly two goals (4-0, 2-1, 2-0), and Genoa have scored just three times in five matches.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Probably not — we give over 2.5 only a 45% chance. Roma have conceded 3 goals in 5 games and Genoa average 0.6 goals scored per match, so the likeliest totals are two or three goals in all.

Can Genoa get anything out of this trip?

It is a long shot at roughly 8%. Their only point came in a 1-1 home draw with Frosinone, and they have lost at Lazio and Parma already, so even a draw (16%) would be an upset against the league leaders.

Head to Head

No head-to-head records were supplied for this fixture, so our model leans entirely on current form and the standings rather than historical meetings. That gap matters less than usual here: the gulf between first and nineteenth — 13 points against 1, a goal difference of +11 against -7 — is the dominant signal. Historically this is a matchup Roma tend to control at home, and nothing in the 2026-27 data suggests otherwise.

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