ACF Fiorentina vs Como 1907 Prediction Serie A · Oct 18, 2026

Matchday 7

Final Result

ACF Fiorentina1 : 3Como 1907

Sunday, October 18, 2026

How our prediction did

Right result, wrong scoreline

We predicted 1–2, it finished 1–3

See our full track record

AI-generated prediction · Oct 8, 2026 · How predictions are made · Entertainment only

ClaudeGPTAdvanced multi-model mix — coming soon

Match Prediction

ACF Fiorentina1 - 2Como 1907

29%

26%

45%

Home WinDrawAway Win

High-scoring likely (2.5+)61%

Both Teams Score61%

ConfidenceMedium

Analysis

Fiorentina are in genuine trouble: one win in five league games, 4 points, 17th place and a -6 goal difference built on 12 goals conceded in five matches, including 0-3 at home to Frosinone and 0-4 at Roma. The only bright spot was the 4-2 win at Venezia, and even the 1-1 draw with Napoli came with another goal shipped. Como are the opposite story — 7th on 10 points, 8 scored and only 4 conceded, with away wins at Napoli (2-1) and Genoa (4-1), a 2-1 home win over Parma and a 4-1 hammering of RB Leipzig; only the 0-2 at Frosinone spoiled the run. Cesc Fabregas' side travel well and Fiorentina's defence has been the most generous in the top half of this fixture, so the value sits with the visitors. Home advantage at the Franchi and the pressure on Como to prove themselves away from their best days keep this from being a one-way bet, but 1-2 to Como looks the fairest read.

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Prediction FAQ

Who is favourite in Fiorentina vs Como?

Como edge it in our model at 44% versus 30% for Fiorentina, with 26% for the draw. Como's 10 points and wins at Napoli and Genoa outweigh Fiorentina's home advantage given the Viola's 4 points and 12 goals conceded.

Will both teams score at the Stadio Artemio Franchi?

We rate BTTS at 61%. Fiorentina have conceded in all five of their last five matches, and they still scored four at Venezia, so both nets being found is the likely outcome.

Is Over 2.5 goals a good call here?

We give Over 2.5 a 60% chance. Fiorentina's games have produced 18 goals in five matches (6 scored, 12 conceded), and Como have put four past Genoa and Leipzig recently, which points to an open game.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data is available for this pairing in our dataset, so the meeting has to be judged purely on current form and standings. That reading is unambiguous: Como have 10 points and a +4 goal difference, Fiorentina 4 points and -6. With no historical pattern to lean on, the recent numbers carry all the weight here.

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