Vitória SC vs CS Marítimo Prediction Primeira Liga · Oct 23, 2026

Analysis

Vitória SC arrive in modest form with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five, scoring only three goals and conceding four, but their home base has been genuinely tight: 1-0 against CD Nacional, 0-0 against Casa Pia and 1-1 with Moreirense means just one goal conceded in three matches at home. Marítimo are the bigger problem case, winless in five (two draws, three losses) with 11 goals conceded, including a 0-3 home hammering by Benfica and away defeats at Moreirense (1-3) and Arouca (1-2). On the road the islanders have shipped six goals in three trips while scoring exactly once each time, so they offer Vitória the weakest defence they have faced in over a month. The caveat is Vitória's own finishing: they have not scored more than one goal in any of their last five games, which is why we keep the total low rather than backing a rout. In a division where the pace-setters are already on 21 points from seven games with just three goals conceded, both of these sides are fighting in the congested middle and lower reaches, and Vitória simply need these home points more. We land on a controlled 2-0 for the hosts, with under 2.5 goals and no BTTS as the supporting calls.