Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction Ligue 1 · Oct 25, 2026

Matchday 8

AI prediction: Toulouse FC 2–1 ES Troyes AC. Win probabilities — Toulouse FC 53%, draw 26%, ES Troyes AC 21%.

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Sunday, October 25, 2026 — 16:15 UTC

Where to Watch

The Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse FC and ES Troyes AC is scheduled soon.

Toulouse host a Troyes side sitting 16th on 4 points, with a -7 goal difference and just 4 goals scored in five games. The hosts are hard to beat but harder still to separate from a draw — three of their last five finished 2-2. Troyes have shipped ten goals in their last three matches, which tilts this one firmly towards the home side.

AI-generated prediction · Oct 11, 2026 · How predictions are made · Entertainment only

ClaudeGPTAdvanced multi-model mix — coming soon

Match Prediction

Toulouse FC2 - 1ES Troyes AC

53%

26%

21%

Home WinDrawAway Win

High-scoring likely (2.5+)57%

Both Teams Score53%

ConfidenceMedium

Analysis

Toulouse have drawn three of their last five matches by the identical 2-2 scoreline — at Brest, at Lorient and most recently at Monaco — scoring nine and conceding nine across those five games, so they create chances but rarely keep things tight at the back. Troyes come in 16th with just 4 points from five matches, a -7 goal difference and only 4 goals scored, one of the thinnest attacks in the division. Their last three outings make grim reading: 0-2 at Angers, 0-2 at Lille and a 2-6 home battering by Strasbourg, ten goals conceded in three games. The counter-argument is that Troyes can defend deep when they commit to it — the 0-0 with Paris FC and the 2-1 win at Lorient both came from low-risk away-style setups — which is why we are not betting on a Toulouse clean sheet. A 2-1 home win is the logical landing spot: Toulouse controlling the match, Troyes nicking something on a transition.

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AI-generated analysis. For entertainment only.

Community Poll

Will Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC end in a draw?

A draw is unlikely: the AI gives it 26%, favouring Toulouse FC (53%) over ES Troyes AC (21%). Predicted score 2–1.

Prediction FAQ

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Troyes?

We predict a 2-1 win for Toulouse. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches but conceded in four of five too, so a one-goal margin looks more likely than a comfortable win.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toulouse vs Troyes?

We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance. Four of Toulouse's last five games went over, but Troyes have gone under in three of five, including a 0-0 with Paris FC.

Will both teams score?

BTTS sits at 51% — close to a coin flip. Toulouse's opponents have scored in four of their last five, but Troyes failed to score at all in three of their five games.

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head record between Toulouse and Troyes is available in our data, so current form carries all the weight here. That reading favours the hosts: Toulouse have lost only once in their last five, while Troyes have lost three of five and conceded ten goals in their last three outings. Without a meeting history to lean on, the table gap — Troyes 16th on 4 points, Toulouse comfortably clear of them — is the clearest signal we have.

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