SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen Prediction Eredivisie · Oct 11, 2026

Analysis

Excelsior arrive in the better shape: two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded, including a 2-2 draw away at Ajax and a 3-0 win at Willem II. Groningen have managed just one win in five (1W 2D 2L, 9 scored, 11 conceded), and the defensive numbers are the worry — 5 shipped at PSV, 3 at home to Fortuna Sittard and two goals allowed in a 2-2 draw with Twente. The goal markets look stronger than the match result: all five of Excelsior's recent games produced three or more goals, four of Groningen's five did the same, and both teams found the net in eight of those ten fixtures. Head-to-head backs Excelsior too, as they won 3-2 in Groningen in May 2026. With the mid-table and lower half of the division separated by only a handful of points after seven rounds, home points carry real weight here, and Excelsior's scoring in every one of their last five matches tips a tight contest their way. A narrow 2-1 is the call, with the draw very much live.