FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax Prediction Eredivisie · Oct 18, 2026

Analysis

Ajax come into round 9 third in the table with 16 points from seven games (5-1-1) and one of the two best attacks in the Eredivisie: 24 goals scored, 10 conceded, including 5-1 at Fortuna Sittard and 4-0 at Telstar on the road. Groningen are eighth on 11 points (3-2-2, 15 scored, 13 conceded) and have been streaky rather than solid: a 3-0 home win over PEC Zwolle came after a 2-2 home draw with Twente, a 2-3 home defeat to Fortuna Sittard and a 1-5 collapse at PSV, which is the clearest measure of the gap against elite opposition. Ajax are not watertight either, having lost 1-3 to PSV and dropped points in a careless 2-2 at home to Excelsior, so Groningen will fancy their chances of scoring in front of their own crowd. Across their 14 league matches the two sides have been involved in 62 goals, an average close to 4.4 per game, which drags the goals markets sharply upward. We make Ajax clear favourites but not a clean-sheet bet, and land on a 1-2 away win.