AS Roma vs Real Madrid CF Prediction UEFA Champions League · Oct 14, 2026

Analysis

Roma arrive unbeaten in their last five (3W 2D), scoring 11 and conceding just four, with a 4-0 win at Lecce, a 2-1 home win over Atalanta and a 2-2 draw with Inter at the Olimpico. Real Madrid's run is far more volatile: three wins and two defeats, 10 goals scored but seven conceded, and both losses came on the road at Atletico (1-2) and Betis (0-1). The flip side is their ceiling — 4-1 at home to Rayo, 3-2 away at Elche, and a 2-1 home win over Inter that showed they can handle Serie A opposition. With Madrid at 1W 2L in their last three away games and Roma having kept two clean sheets in five, the gap is narrower than reputation suggests, but Madrid's superior finishing in big matches still makes them favourites. Four of Madrid's last five matches produced both teams scoring and four went over 2.5 goals, so an open game looks likelier than a stalemate. A 1-2 away win is our central projection, with real value in the goals markets.